Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.042615 0.049804 0.057715 0.067049 0.077744 0.089596 0.103709
2025-04-13 0.030804 0.039899 0.050852 0.064945 0.082525 0.103652 0.130878
2025-04-20 0.024983 0.035404 0.048972 0.067774 0.092966 0.125343 0.169854
2025-04-27 0.020616 0.031680 0.047128 0.069979 0.102562 0.146925 0.211362
2025-05-04 0.016263 0.026977 0.042946 0.068039 0.105915 0.160247 0.243151
2025-05-11 0.013308 0.023683 0.040098 0.067339 0.110602 0.175592 0.279142
2025-05-18 0.010772 0.020504 0.036798 0.065266 0.112670 0.186983 0.310172
2025-05-25 0.008898 0.018047 0.034202 0.063804 0.115293 0.199210 0.343405
2025-06-01 0.007664 0.016485 0.032835 0.064125 0.120731 0.216261 0.385737
2025-06-08 0.006403 0.014606 0.030569 0.062452 0.122399 0.227054 0.418549
2025-06-15 0.005906 0.014166 0.030916 0.065606 0.132971 0.253942 0.481035
2025-06-22 0.005177 0.013086 0.029825 0.065805 0.138019 0.271474 0.528573
2025-06-29 0.004370 0.011687 0.027895 0.064138 0.139456 0.282895 0.566795
2025-07-06 0.003728 0.010535 0.026303 0.062933 0.141646 0.295916 0.609192
2025-07-13 0.003482 0.010312 0.026735 0.066125 0.153149 0.327798 0.690020
2025-07-20 0.003208 0.009959 0.026807 0.068517 0.163226 0.357775 0.769683
2025-07-27 0.002736 0.008958 0.025161 0.066733 0.164069 0.369269 0.813803
2025-08-03 0.002390 0.008236 0.024078 0.066106 0.167364 0.386029 0.869859
2025-08-10 0.002034 0.007392 0.022528 0.064099 0.167243 0.395532 0.911669
2025-08-17 0.001753 0.006710 0.021287 0.062676 0.168289 0.407571 0.959705
2025-08-24 0.001573 0.006308 0.020751 0.063000 0.173543 0.429256 1.030065
2025-08-31 0.001353 0.005713 0.019550 0.061358 0.173740 0.439572 1.076345
2025-09-07 0.001295 0.005687 0.020041 0.064464 0.186283 0.479202 1.190874